Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001175 0.001235 0.001296 0.001363 0.001435 0.001510 0.001593
2025-07-13 0.001057 0.001140 0.001229 0.001330 0.001443 0.001564 0.001706
2025-07-20 0.000993 0.001094 0.001204 0.001334 0.001483 0.001649 0.001849
2025-07-27 0.000946 0.001061 0.001189 0.001342 0.001524 0.001732 0.001991
2025-08-03 0.000912 0.001038 0.001182 0.001358 0.001570 0.001821 0.002142
2025-08-10 0.000875 0.001008 0.001163 0.001356 0.001594 0.001881 0.002258
2025-08-17 0.000827 0.000964 0.001123 0.001326 0.001581 0.001893 0.002312
2025-08-24 0.000791 0.000930 0.001095 0.001308 0.001579 0.001919 0.002383
2025-08-31 0.000767 0.000911 0.001083 0.001309 0.001601 0.001972 0.002492
2025-09-07 0.000739 0.000884 0.001060 0.001294 0.001601 0.001998 0.002563
2025-09-14 0.000714 0.000861 0.001041 0.001283 0.001604 0.002027 0.002640
2025-09-21 0.000691 0.000839 0.001023 0.001272 0.001607 0.002054 0.002714
2025-09-28 0.000666 0.000815 0.001001 0.001257 0.001607 0.002081 0.002794
2025-10-05 0.000636 0.000783 0.000970 0.001228 0.001586 0.002078 0.002831
2025-10-12 0.000621 0.000771 0.000963 0.001232 0.001610 0.002139 0.002966
2025-10-19 0.000609 0.000761 0.000959 0.001239 0.001639 0.002208 0.003117
2025-10-26 0.000600 0.000756 0.000960 0.001253 0.001678 0.002293 0.003296
2025-11-02 0.000585 0.000743 0.000950 0.001252 0.001694 0.002343 0.003424
2025-11-09 0.000563 0.000718 0.000923 0.001225 0.001671 0.002334 0.003455
2025-11-16 0.000546 0.000699 0.000905 0.001209 0.001663 0.002347 0.003522
2025-11-23 0.000535 0.000690 0.000898 0.001209 0.001680 0.002400 0.003657
2025-11-30 0.000520 0.000674 0.000882 0.001196 0.001675 0.002417 0.003733
2025-12-07 0.000507 0.000660 0.000869 0.001186 0.001675 0.002441 0.003822